Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Liberty Flames (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e01539eba0f7f28a01120637423a272dc5d0d6aa2601ae9fe729db4a0394ef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Liberty Flames, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,982 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 1,689$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.93 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 1,378$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 282.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ed19backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 146.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 54c | 111.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…6ba5backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 94.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 85.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Liberty Flames | 52c | 79.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 65.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 51.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 46c | 51.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 49.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 34.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-8.5)this page
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty FlamesLouisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flames: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-9.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.