TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x350e…7528

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT8636%31 W · 55 L-11.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$8.25
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.4%+$19.67
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.1%+$6.76
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+74.1%+$14.63
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+62.9%+$12.58
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100.6%+$16.34
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.58
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.63
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+168.1%+$49.01
Rice Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharksbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.51
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$38.42
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Spread: VCU Rams (-10.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+80.6%+$15.99
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Navy Midshipmen vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+259.1%+$77.72
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+80.8%+$12.19
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.07
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega - Map 2 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$137.58
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs brazylijski luz (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Abacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Abacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+64.7%+$74.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.