TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof NRG, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$374,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked NRG50c108,337$54,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,168.6139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Monte50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Monte49c39,558$19,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,200.0142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Monte55c33,745$18,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,313.7683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked NRG33c30,717$10,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,008.713633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Monte50c29,600$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,80015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte50c17,595$8,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,788.4741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG50c12,539$6,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,29722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Monte66c10,742$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.3535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monte58c8,633$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.153,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte50c7,957$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.831,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked NRG54c6,631$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.5919834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Monte63c6,569$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.7824550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Monte68c6,520$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG50c6,000$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed NRG50c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.59256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Monte54c4,898$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.825635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Monte61c4,816$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.9833960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Monte50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NRG35c3,312$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.1257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NRG51c3,107$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.6817249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Monte68c3,008$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.8398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Monte50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40010952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Monte50c2,663$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.0584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Monte68c2,560$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.28444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed NRG51c2,554$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.4822142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed NRG52c2,546$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.6915141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed NRG50c2,392$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x419f…2da0backed Monte50c2,139$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Monte68c2,116$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.1820838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NRG35c2,107$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.592,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Monte49c2,061$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.1155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…60febacked Monte50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NRG49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98017148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked NRG50c1,833$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.359739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Monte51c1,760$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.0512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed NRG39c1,580$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8429647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Monte54c1,412$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.731,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked NRG41c1,300$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5274528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed NRG41c1,208$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Monte50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed NRG50c1,132$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.9133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Monte57c1,064$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.1847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG50c994.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.825,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Monte51c994.15$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1518049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Monte59c974.45$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.181,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NRG51c933.15$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9113030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed NRG33c932.27$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6569635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Monte67c904.9$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6219642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked NRG51c892.55$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked NRG42c880$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.438051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed NRG51c854.9$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43627950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed NRG60c830.56$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed NRG51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed NRG51c769$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1922342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Monte62c715.52$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3112651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG38c696.03$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.895,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked NRG34c648.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.152454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked NRG50c616.1$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NRG35c609.12$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa772…ae85backed NRG51c607.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked NRG33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Monte50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30035344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Monte50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG47c581$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1849745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked NRG54c550.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed Monte56c540.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.382339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG30c520.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.631,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Monte49c511.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed NRG47c500$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4242142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4260…f180backed Monte50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG57c500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.51,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Monte47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Monte42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29011846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed NRG46c473$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0529244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte53c472.71$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.57,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte55c459.85$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.494,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Monte48c455.26$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.268944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf79…850bbacked NRG44c436.8$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.525240.4%21 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…4358backed NRG51c424$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked NRG47c413$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0648948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Monte50c400.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7225440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed NRG50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc4…4f2cbacked Monte50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e19…9bdfbacked Monte50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NRG33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13225651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2157…923cbacked Monte50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe8…ad70backed NRG51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d83…5e6abacked Monte50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3021…5133backed NRG62c380$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.61811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-76.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed NRG53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed NRG46c376$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0646344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Monte68c375.62$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked NRG46c363$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6354346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.