TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe137…a117

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$845
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.35
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$478.25
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+333.5%+$994.45
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.99
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$241.1
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$401.18
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.4
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.6
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$265.88
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.53
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$355.77
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$36.95
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+375.5%+$374.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$308.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$218.25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$384.39
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,037.98
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$597.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+143.5%+$759.81
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$375.9
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.99
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$197.31
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.07
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.68
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.09
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.29
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.47
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$186.78
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$153.86
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.72
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$879.37
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+324.6%+$366.2
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$646.24
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$279.53
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$519.45
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500.4
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$264.04
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$490
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$400
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+60.5%+$222.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.16
Miami Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$203.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-5.5)backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.