TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$601,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,903 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccb2…8586backed G269c97,464$67,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,213.893961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed G279c57,861$45,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,869.623355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked NIP31c40,547$12,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,675.15444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP30c38,400$11,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,513.641,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked NIP16c31,308$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.3622354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed NIP31c21,515$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.9541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked NIP32c17,043$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,446.9342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed NIP31c17,000$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,27022142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed G268c15,218$10,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.9722849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G268c14,969$10,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.4872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G271c13,899$9,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.7883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP8c10,088$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.313,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed NIP32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.983852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed NIP30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.8737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP26c9,386$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.581,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed G269c8,888$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.287940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed NIP31c7,777$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.879256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed NIP31c6,484$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01012552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c8…92b2backed NIP31c6,230$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP30c6,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed G279c5,381$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.0128453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked G269c4,329$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.9916448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked NIP31c4,074$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.0610445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed G272c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1206656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed NIP31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed NIP21c3,823$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked NIP27c3,750$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.520539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked NIP12c3,461$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3212328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked NIP6c3,408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP15c3,389$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.335,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP31c3,306$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.5884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NIP32c3,280$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed G267c3,266$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.326168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabe0…0263backed NIP30c3,067$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.352437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed G271c3,066$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.0935153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked G268c3,017$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.4432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed G268c2,946$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.5937646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NIP31c2,800$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8651,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP9c2,718$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.162,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed G268c2,672$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.0424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed G269c2,609$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.7917240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP32c2,551$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.615,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked NIP31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77521424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP14c2,270$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.327,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked NIP31c2,216$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed NIP5c2,190$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed G269c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked NIP30c2,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed NIP31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed G268c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NIP31c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9911852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed G268c1,954$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4132653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked NIP25c1,953$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.288444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed G269c1,950$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.528344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed G270c1,942$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.612742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed NIP22c1,843$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NIP22c1,827$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.241,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed G268c1,800$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5768846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked NIP31c1,793$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked NIP12c1,604$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1621737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked G272c1,600$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked NIP32c1,547$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3921146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G276c1,539$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.591,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed NIP33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed G268c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.817954.7%98 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed G268c1,466$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.184351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa743…7300backed G270c1,444$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.288644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NIP17c1,427$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.361,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed NIP8c1,415$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.259153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP17c1,400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.262,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP15c1,349$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.292,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked NIP31c1,324$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4327530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP3c1,312$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NIP3c1,312$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed NIP31c1,197$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3719643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed NIP7c1,150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked NIP33c1,137$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.182433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NIP31c1,131$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed G268c1,074$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.6833456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked NIP23c1,061$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.181,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed G268c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4114856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed NIP30c1,019$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.97739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP16c1,010$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.296,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed NIP31c1,008$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.482634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed NIP33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed NIP29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29057358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed NIP31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed NIP33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…11a5backed G268c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203148.4%15 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84ba…db58backed NIP31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked G267c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.996060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked NIP31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G273c966.53$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.681,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP31c928$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6854732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa9…ed7dbacked G269c924.36$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.552347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked NIP20c920$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.75350.9%27 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a4…ab0ebacked NIP3c849.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.484613%6 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed G268c847.76$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2852456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ad4bbacked G279c840$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.546873.5%50 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.