CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ec2c5dbe03e66a6a7e447a11b5195d7fa826b7698071d32acbb0d76b35a7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,920 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Over | 51c | 1,544$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.6 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 50c | 1,509$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.53 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 52c | 1,340$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 48c | 1,340$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 1,206$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 39c | 714.31$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.51 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 39c | 698.12$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 52c | 581.31$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 24c | 470.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Under | 66c | 400.93$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 56c | 357.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 21c | 275.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Under | 63c | 216.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Under | 31c | 186.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…5b84backed Over | 34c | 162$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 42c | 139.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Under | 52c | 139.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 50c | 129.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under | 67c | 120.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Under | 59c | 108.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…6d0ebacked Under | 68c | 69.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 58.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…589ebacked Over | 50c | 57.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked Over | 54c | 57.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 64c | 38.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 38c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 53c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Under | 68c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.