TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7d1…ba29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Golf, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Golf at 50 out of 100; worst Olympics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.1
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked F5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$256
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 1 Winnerbacked F5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Players (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Players - Map 1 Winnerbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.2
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$272
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Map Handicap: ZOMB (-1.5) vs NuTorious (+1.5)backed NuTorious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Counter-Strike: regain vs F5 Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked F5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.56
Map Handicap: CRASH (-1.5) vs Back to Back (+1.5)backed Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.11
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back - Map 2 Winnerbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.09
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winnerbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.32
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$125.98
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$128.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$109.99
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardibacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117.5
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.