CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88c38afc461443113efaa1841cbf7dd71424882bd928139bab851becc6c0625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,457 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 9,850$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.33 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 7,961$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 33c | 7,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team Falcons | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,800$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,197$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,169$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.38 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Falcons | 33c | 933.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 35c | 796.83$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Team Falcons | 41c | 697.87$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.28 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 645.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Falcons | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Team Falcons | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Team Falcons | 60c | 496.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 492.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 429.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 408.8$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 389.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 370.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Falcons | 43c | 370$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons | 51c | 336.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 333.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Falcons | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 286.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Team Falcons | 33c | 266.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Falcons | 35c | 228.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 208.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Team Falcons | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Team Falcons | 53c | 189.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 170.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons | 34c | 147.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Team Falcons | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Team Falcons | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed Team Falcons | 47c | 135.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…fe12backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Falcons | 25c | 97.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 86.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…b918backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 85.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 319 | 59.9%191 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Team Falcons | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Team Falcons | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 313 | 39.6%124 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 55.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Team Falcons | 36c | 49.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Team Falcons | 58c | 48.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Falcons | 31c | 47.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Falcons | 42c | 46.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Team Falcons | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 39.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Team Falcons | 35c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 35.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons | 35c | 34.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…e558backed Team Falcons | 36c | 33.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…2a83backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 15.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…f1c6backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.