TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c24…921d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.2
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.09
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$27.16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$7.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$53.16
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$26.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$80.49
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.49
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$27.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$33.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+68.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.32
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.64
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$13.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+37%+$17.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.