Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9dc7a216edc49e7627b7e8434a0f441b48a2b23bf77d497a45b3976f6711c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,289 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 8,581$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 4,155$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 41c | 1,478$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.91 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 1,420$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,098$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 10c | 766.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 710.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 554.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 435.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Yes | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 8c | 366.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 11c | 339.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 330.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 11c | 295$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 12c | 271.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 9c | 238.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 45c | 222.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 199.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 58c | 172.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 12c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 12c | 155$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 40c | 149.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 29c | 147.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 13c | 131.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…28a2backed Yes | 10c | 131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 85.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 48c | 83.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 21c | 74.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 39c | 73.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 63.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Yes | 60c | 53.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 44c | 50.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed No | 56c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed No | 45c | 33.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 42c | 32.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…bc0fbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…e702backed Yes | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.