Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-10?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7781d0339aebec86b04ea70d112ba131f2cd63e2095dae163d37099326e7e997

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	68c	8,997$6,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,895.73	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes	61c	2,700$1,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed Yes	57c	1,768$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes	70c	1,432$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	31c	1,169$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.22	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	54c	1,095$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.35	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes	57c	992.45$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.35	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes	54c	981.48$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes	70c	900$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes	57c	898.25$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	68c	645.1$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.29	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	32c	603.35$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.7	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No	30c	600$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes	68c	588.24$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	69c	560.3$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.61	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	31c	525.4$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.93	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No	31c	499.99$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.79	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+7.0wins	+0.26per pick	30cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	48c	489.66$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	39c	406.47$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.15	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes	16c	343.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.04	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes	69c	304.92$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.39	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No	31c	300$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	41c	294.77$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.2	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Yes	57c	262.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No	31c	251.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.21	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes	68c	250$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdd…e702backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes	68c	250$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	35	60%21 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	68c	249.07$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.33	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes	57c	245.54$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.96	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes	58c	201.72$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	263	44.9%118 W · 145 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes	61c	196.72$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes	25c	190$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5289…2154backed Yes	54c	184.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.64	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Yes	52c	181.59$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.05	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-56%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes	65c	180$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	68cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	12c	171.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes	58c	171.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	-9.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	69c	171$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.87	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Yes	68c	161.77$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes	12c	160.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No	32c	150$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No	31c	150$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.5	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cb…ab72backed Yes	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-49%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes	23c	141.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes	46c	131.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	30c	121$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.48	1,589	53.3%847 W · 742 L	+39.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	68c	118.96$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.89	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x065b…547fbacked Yes	55c	90.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	72c	89.63$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.1	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes	34c	87.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No	33c	85.86$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	365	54.5%199 W · 166 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes	17c	76.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes	67c	73.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	60c	71.02$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.63	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes	58c	68.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-5.7wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a2e…f72cbacked No	32c	64.19$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No	75c	61.77$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.44	451	42.6%192 W · 259 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	137	46%63 W · 74 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No	37c	59.82$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.82	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No	33c	59.76$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No	30c	57.09$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Yes	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No	70c	47.75$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.14	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes	70c	42.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes	56c	41.19$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.07	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes	57c	39.51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	210	43.8%92 W · 118 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No	45c	34.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.81	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Yes	58c	33.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No	78c	30.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.64	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	129	68.2%88 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8168…97e2backed Yes	56c	27.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Yes	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f4d…398dbacked Yes	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes	58c	22.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes	68c	22.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	221	56.1%124 W · 97 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Yes	67c	22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c04…c81abacked Yes	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes	56c	19.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	91	56%51 W · 40 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Yes	58c	19.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes	67c	17.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Yes	61c	16.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No	78c	15.56$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.42	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00db…a6fdbacked Yes	69c	14.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-10?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-10?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event