TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6070…88a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$41.49
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$40.24
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$112.46
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.72
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+182%+$195.86
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+526.6%+$139.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.82
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.51
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.55
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.72
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.96
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.88
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$29.49
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$18.93
All 25 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.59
Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.03
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$28.58
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+737.3%+$203.31
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.83
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.73
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$84.35
Will Vejle BK win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+266.9%+$433.76
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.28
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.62
Will NEC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.37
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.1
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+218.2%+$26.16
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+266.2%+$71.42
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.35
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$84.35
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.99
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$66.17
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$84.35
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$84.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.28
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.02
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.6%+$192.08
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$49.83
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.87
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+228%+$344.91
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$19.35
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$65.4
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.37
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.11
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.42
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.42
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.94
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.41
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.74
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.22
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.75
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.8%+$12.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$43.66
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$73.77
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.11
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.11
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.1
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$41.48
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.62
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.69
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.99
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+285%+$76.94
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$45.69
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+119%+$128.89
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.09
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$95.55
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.41
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.28
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$101.63
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$222.51
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+90.7%+$9.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.