TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,730 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No58c12,195$7,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,092.296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes45c10,590$4,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,774.0134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c10,085$7,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,591.0468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No74c7,096$5,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,244.66346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c5,216$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.4798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes25c3,906$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.656048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes26c3,251$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.7121548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes23c3,197$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.332142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c2,134$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.11,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No73c2,021$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.622360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c1,657$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.282,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c1,357$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.9540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes26c1,146$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes26c1,142$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.2712731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c1,140$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.5235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c1,121$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.185424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No2c1,008$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes61c990.77$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.789440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes24c974.44$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.882948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No77c926.85$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.444353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No1c898.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c883.37$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.1412920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c737.42$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.6933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c732$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No74c684.76$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.72540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No42c605$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.454825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked No74c522.14$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c440.66$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes22c434.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2711153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c423.44$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Yes24c389.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+64.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa29c…74d9backed Yes23c374.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes27c367.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.517538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes23c366.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.571643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes29c354.43$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c352.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No61c345.56$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.797345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No23c345.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.421717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2318958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Yes27c291.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+179.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd1…e532backed No76c261.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No50c239.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.924463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c231.2$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No12c225.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0812044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c220$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No74c199.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes76c196.37$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.333177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+92.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No77c186.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.72250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No74c180$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No54c179.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No77c178.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.472035%7 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No34c169.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.582828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes78c161.38$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1111772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes39c154.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3322743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No75c150$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x679b…745fbacked No78c144.11$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No40c141$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1123345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes29c135.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.031770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+93.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes23c132.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6711136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No76c130.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No74c127.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ced…da99backed No78c121.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes26c114.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.817837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes50c112.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x72f8…5734backed No78c108.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No74c102.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6411146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Yes24c100.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed No76c99.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.991040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No75c99.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Yes23c99.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes48c98.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No76c96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9623245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes27c92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c75.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1420749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes47c75.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9499…ba9ebacked No77c72.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f9…c6b3backed No75c71.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.726349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No74c66.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.939857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No76c65.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe681…cba8backed No78c60.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes73c59.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.243650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes22c56.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.354548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Yes40c55.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…4533backed No37c53.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51070%7 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick30cpaid+187%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes26c49.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.753432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes49c49.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1510759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Yes66c49.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.776860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc644…1546backed No73c47.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed No71c46.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.753450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…08c0backed Yes27c42.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes48c42.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.91275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c40.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed No77c38.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.