TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09b6…d33e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$8.08
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$10.52
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.48
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.66
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$6.95
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.53
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+50%+$11.86
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$8.55
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.71
United States vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$32.39
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$46.17
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.85
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Andorra win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Singapore vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$21.33
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+86%+$134.19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$25.9
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$15.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$49.17
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$20.28
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$17.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+400%+$56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.84
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.68
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.1
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$87.47
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.68
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$19.89
Will Santos FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.55
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.4
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.02
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.89
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.87
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.54
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+159%+$62.01
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.4
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$40.1
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$15.94
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$6.44
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$23.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$30.7
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42%+$6.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.92
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.9
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+239%+$28.41
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$11.29
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.57
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.24
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.62
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+264.6%+$66.77
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+328.1%+$36.02
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$17.34
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+59%+$8.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.47
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44%+$4.43
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.39
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.82
Göztepe SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.05
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.45
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
Will Heracles Almelo vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$5.31
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.55
Will Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$8.83
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.79
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$18.28
AD Ceuta FC vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$16.22
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$14.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+124%+$48.71
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.22
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+87.5%+$26.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$90.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+62%+$15.11
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.5
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+103%+$20.55
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.78
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$25.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.