TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,326,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,370,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,326,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b47…d814backed No47c502,274$235,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266,992.9756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes53c235,000$124,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,299.8615843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes53c200,000$106,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,999.9721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No47c155,455$73,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,350.2920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c139,765$85,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,483.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes52c84,000$43,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,819.9913543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes53c75,467$39,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,742.823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No47c69,999$32,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,099.648046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No47c66,149$31,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,058.916053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked No47c64,126$30,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,986.742218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Yes52c56,050$29,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,306.477448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c54,981$27,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,734.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes55c52,732$28,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,83318047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes51c50,795$26,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,081.142,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No48c40,220$19,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,914.187642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No46c39,999$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.6115950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No47c37,800$17,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,03415441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No47c37,800$17,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,033.922352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes53c33,316$17,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,657.4811348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No48c31,756$15,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,438.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes53c31,617$16,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,687.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed No61c29,557$17,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,611.0510562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes53c29,000$15,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,3708932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No32c28,249$8,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,263.8214139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c27,844$13,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,424.33,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes53c25,000$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2505717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No47c23,673$11,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,546.6620333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed No65c22,334$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,833.963167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes51c22,006$11,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,179.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No47c18,000$8,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,54014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes53c16,650$8,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,883.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No48c15,600$7,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,115.2729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No47c15,547$7,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,239.918938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes14c15,199$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.0649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No47c15,120$7,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,013.418940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,95053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes52c14,858$7,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,726.2223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes51c14,785$7,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,529.7717544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes37c14,333$5,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,323.51,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No48c14,000$6,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,229.791,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c13,369$6,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,222.134,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No47c12,240$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,487.346050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24022752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c10,431$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,470.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Yes52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2006662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3003568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.988735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9721937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9738026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Yes52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No50c9,605$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,798.351,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Yes53c9,413$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No49c9,295$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.7766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No47c9,140$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,844.198631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c9,014$4,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,787.2974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes53c8,747$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.9516546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No46c7,302$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.0759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked No56c7,085$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1457445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Yes52c7,070$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.172536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f6…6924backed Yes56c6,542$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,661.936060%36 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes54c6,322$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.8813259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c6,258$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.251,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No40c6,158$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No49c5,898$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.9611963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes34c5,770$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.3479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Yes52c5,764$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes53c5,701$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.1573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x527d…d8f4backed Yes53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes53c5,625$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.2640655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes52c5,555$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No69c5,532$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.9444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No48c5,521$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.8319250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No48c5,437$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.971,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Yes53c5,425$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.074348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes54c5,339$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.741,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No47c5,330$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.181,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes52c5,109$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.2915853.2%84 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…4ab0backed Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes52c4,940$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.023324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes49c4,934$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.5637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes55c4,904$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.5387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd965…e736backed Yes44c4,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Yes50c4,222$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1113363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes60c4,000$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.8912634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes51c3,908$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.5525228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Yes53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes53c3,745$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.855034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c3,367$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes60c3,300$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9857552%39 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes52c3,280$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes52c3,269$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.471,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Yes60c3,156$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90017751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.