Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26172030385d28571844a7718d5fba62e4b04a2df42e949b8393b90113e52448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 39,997$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 9c | 32,058$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.43 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Under | 9c | 30,784$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.61 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Under | 9c | 20,000$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.98 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 10c | 15,766$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Under | 9c | 10,526$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Under | 9c | 9,212$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.64 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 9c | 6,193$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.16 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 5,214$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Under | 10c | 5,064$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.61 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 9c | 4,966$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Under | 10c | 4,351$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.11 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Under | 9c | 3,072$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 8c | 2,732$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Under | 9c | 2,410$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…1578backed Under | 10c | 2,160$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 10c | 2,042$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Under | 9c | 1,770$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 9c | 1,750$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 1,650$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 1c | 1,130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 9c | 1,120$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Under | 10c | 1,026$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Under | 9c | 930$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 9c | 808.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 9c | 793.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 9c | 730.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 10c | 493$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Under | 10c | 436.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked Under | 9c | 376.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 9c | 358.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Under | 9c | 333$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 9c | 296$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 8c | 235$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 9c | 207$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 9c | 138.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Algeria won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.