Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b9788c208863dc23121ce40a72370b4eec3d9fdb98c7d77dcb6d03a75e1c82a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $354,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $374,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,658 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	6c	28,323$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.65	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Over	12c	16,758$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	7c	16,450$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191.63	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Over	10c	15,768$1,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.26	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Over	15c	13,570$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	232	24.1%56 W · 176 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	5c	12,137$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.78	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	10c	10,551$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.95	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over	0c	10,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over	11c	9,164$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	10c	7,323$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.3	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over	1c	7,199$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over	10c	7,000$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.75	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	12c	3,254$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.15	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	15c	3,100$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.97	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	12c	2,393$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.36	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	9c	2,000$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	16c	1,852$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	10c	1,711$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.1	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	10c	1,519$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.3	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over	17c	1,500$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.75	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	11c	1,155$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over	14c	1,097$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	233	36.9%86 W · 147 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	16c	890$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.18	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over	18c	755$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.88	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	12c	713.18$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.03	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over	16c	618.99$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	10c	599.97$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	10c	523.81$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over	10c	461$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29b4…8281backed Over	10c	456.76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	9c	438.36$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	9c	424.61$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Over	6c	320$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	10c	299.61$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	10c	257.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa609…259dbacked Over	17c	248$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.31per pick	26cpaid	+176.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over	8c	232.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	9c	210.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8527…009bbacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over	13c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x074a…f8a3backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	19.2%25 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca22…2ee7backed Over	10c	199$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+7.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over	17c	198$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.16	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	10c	195.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6418…db52backed Over	10c	180$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	8c	168.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over	18c	155$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked Over	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	10c	135.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	14c	119.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	11c	112.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.79	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed Over	13c	110.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	335	44.5%149 W · 186 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over	10c	99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3742…a8c0backed Over	17c	99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over	18c	87.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5this page
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Algeria won
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Algeria won
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Algeria won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event