TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$626,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$683,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x412f…30fabacked Over28c143,417$39,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,460.2918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c122,951$85,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,234.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over28c57,484$16,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,095.5222139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under74c52,886$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,885.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under72c45,496$32,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,738.842774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c36,158$9,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,943.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under66c20,748$13,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.6336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over33c17,710$5,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,859.4224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over46c7,198$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.7921722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over45c7,022$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.927416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under72c6,456$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.661,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over27c5,205$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.3570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under71c5,038$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.1114553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under56c4,546$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.6537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under54c4,173$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.6423540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over28c4,054$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.4825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Over26c4,040$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.858212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over34c3,509$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.5843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c3,424$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over35c3,354$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c3,199$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c3,195$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.161,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over35c3,053$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.559525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under53c3,051$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.4944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under70c3,004$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.6320839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under53c2,665$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.294055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c2,653$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under64c2,263$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.182,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over24c2,253$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.743315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c2,245$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c2,234$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under73c2,158$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.91,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c2,039$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over35c1,745$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under73c1,733$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.411,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over31c1,718$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8912528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under52c1,658$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.5610851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Over33c1,517$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6310732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over27c1,445$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.292,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over28c1,443$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over29c1,410$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under51c1,382$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.9514946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over45c1,369$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2329639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…47d8backed Under70c1,368$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8110942.2%46 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over33c1,357$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.376728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c1,302$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.091,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over52c1,252$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c1,231$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over28c1,217$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8813736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over29c1,129$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.961,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over36c1,067$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0734533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8311826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under72c1,004$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over27c925$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.751,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over54c870.37$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over32c851.24$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under73c824.91$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9125049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over32c814.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3638819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over42c803.62$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9318449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over43c803.31$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1833438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over42c780.87$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.823336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Under66c747.62$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.144431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over33c746$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c733.72$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over34c730.65$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.542,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under73c687.67$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6735150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under72c678.68$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.057852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over36c675$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.751,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Over45c655.56$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over9c629.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1911126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over28c613.42$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.766139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over31c600.11$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3792732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over33c597.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0217827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over32c566.36$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under73c559.63$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Over36c555.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under72c555.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over35c477$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.331,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Over29c449.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.324348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Over19c447.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.081926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over27c410$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.633,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under73c400$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5752455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Under72c379.54$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.276637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.