TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over44c1,855$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over45c1,314$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58922147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under53c1,268$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.8453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Under56c1,066$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.475040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over46c824.94$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8112740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c721.96$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.812,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c654.15$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.622,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c501$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.441,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over44c501$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under57c419.62$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.245646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over50c419$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.534964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under20c302.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Under57c285.75$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.875259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c264.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.651,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.122,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.122,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over52c217.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.411,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under29c168.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.424947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.577051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c144.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.652,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under56c140.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under56c131.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.714,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over54c123.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under57c121$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Under59c118.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.984856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over41c112.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over55c109.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4341551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under58c98.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3745548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Over43c95.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.052835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1617448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over57c78.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9923943.5%104 W · 135 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under38c77.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1436350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92bb…00c9backed Over49c73.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under56c68.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over47c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.111,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under20c65.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Under57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8810737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c0…4a2abacked Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0737352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8977…6579backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207363%46 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under45c45.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.952,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over44c43.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.161,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.658858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d53…200ebacked Over46c34.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a4…7077backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under59c28.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.