Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33780ca07f43687e22aac4136f8e6668774112c3b8692866b618ff601e96b002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Algeria, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Algeria | 6c | 25,441$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Algeria | 8c | 15,930$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed Algeria | 7c | 15,665$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.29 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Algeria | 8c | 12,931$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…c0fbbacked Algeria | 7c | 11,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Algeria | 2c | 10,868$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Algeria | 5c | 8,749$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Algeria | 6c | 8,434$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Algeria | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Algeria | 7c | 7,628$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.21 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Algeria | 7c | 2,712$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…c668backed Algeria | 6c | 2,400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…0377backed Algeria | 1c | 2,261$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Algeria | 7c | 2,002$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Algeria | 7c | 1,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Algeria | 7c | 1,489$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 38.2%63 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Algeria | 7c | 1,234$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Algeria | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Algeria | 7c | 1,047$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Algeria | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Algeria | 6c | 748.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Algeria | 7c | 666.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Algeria | 7c | 617.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Algeria | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Algeria | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Algeria | 7c | 454.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Algeria | 3c | 415.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Algeria | 8c | 374.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Algeria | 7c | 373.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Algeria | 6c | 251.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Algeria | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Algeria | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Algeria | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Algeria | 8c | 129.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Algeria won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.