TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,223 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No80c1,622$1,297 inWon+$324.3734249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes21c957.14$199 inLost-$1994238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No79c787.14$622 inWon+$165.316564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes15c663.42$97 inLost-$9760821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes20c495$99 inLost-$998235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c49…793bbacked Yes20c492.38$100 inLost-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes20c475$95 inLost-$9513736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c431.61$41 inLost-$40.944,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80d…4ea7backed Yes19c354.68$67 inLost-$67.391717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed No80c300$240 inWon+$608344.6%37 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes19c300$57 inLost-$5710933%36 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes19c270.46$50 inLost-$50.1920036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes19c128.68$25 inLost-$2511219.6%22 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes19c112.76$22 inLost-$21.751,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost-$204020%8 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeec3…c3d2backed Yes18c100$18 inLost-$185030%15 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$2029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes17c85.77$15 inLost-$14.5815932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2689…5f42backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost-$152619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe00…05efbacked Yes20c65$13 inLost-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f4…4021backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1017854.5%97 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$108231.7%26 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1d…ff33backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$106650%33 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.