Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dda98a5bf32f0700b167d20cf89836ee3755f853e4e34ce58f1621aafe9bdbf

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb272…5030backed Over	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	24c	7,234$1,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,768.84	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	7c	6,532$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.94	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	21c	5,544$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.1	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	21c	4,951$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.28	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	24c	4,429$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.53	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	15c	2,331$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.95	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	76c	1,759$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.65	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	9c	1,673$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.4	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	75c	1,412$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.24	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	24c	1,131$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.94	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	75c	1,071$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.48	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	77c	999.99$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under	78c	947$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.34	347	51%177 W · 170 L	+19.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	2c	678.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	233	36.9%86 W · 147 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over	23c	501$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.23	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under	78c	437$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.14	277	44.8%124 W · 153 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over	23c	434$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	23c	424.66$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.67	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	286	46.2%132 W · 154 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe82b…2c44backed Over	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	210	29%61 W · 149 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	7c	352.85$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over	25c	294.52$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.63	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	15c	279.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Over	23c	264.35$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Over	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over	23c	193.96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over	24c	188$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	31c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over	24c	150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under	77c	119.39$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Over	26c	115.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Over	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+7.3wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	256	46.5%119 W · 137 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	37c	93$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	29c	93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	31c	93$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	31c	93$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a52…cebdbacked Under	76c	88.16$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.16	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	76c	80.09$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a87…b9a9backed Over	27c	74.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	78c	68.95$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.91	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d13…d163backed Over	26c	61.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-85%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	23c	55.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	481	54.9%264 W · 217 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over	25c	52.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-7.7wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	76c	49$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	237	61.2%145 W · 92 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	31c	44.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	73c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	76c	32.8$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	76c	32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked Under	74c	31.55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	76c	31.43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under	78c	30.01$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.64	229	57.6%132 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	77c	29.25$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.81	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	161	57.8%93 W · 68 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under	76c	15.28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.61	321	58.3%187 W · 134 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	74c	14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.64	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Algeria won
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Algeria won
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Algeria won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event