TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc774…f218

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
477
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT35753.8%192 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 357 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.05
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$48.21
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.08
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40
Rafael Jodar vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+151%+$72.48
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$102.42
Sion: Ognjen Milic vs Lucio Rattibacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$19.36
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.43
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.21
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.58
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.72
Cincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.35
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.05
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$64.64
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Showing 25 of 357 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.4
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$51.37
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$80.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.9
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.65
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.94
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$197.51
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.97
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.97
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.6
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.73
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.93
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.24
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.15
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.