World Politics · resolved market
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409836e4b9af0e8f7d1c2cc5f071d9ecb85efe706091323c4294c6859cc09ba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 39c | 14,270$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Yes | 25c | 12,330$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.88 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 60c | 9,851$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Yes | 77c | 8,453$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,505.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked No | 52c | 8,388$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.81 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 6c | 6,735$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 21c | 6,451$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 18c | 6,268$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.53 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…c460backed Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…4d78backed Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,683$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 12c | 5,624$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.28 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 58c | 5,617$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.53 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…33f7backed No | 70c | 5,454$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 69c | 5,241$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3f7dbacked Yes | 28c | 5,013$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +294.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…62b9backed Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 49c | 4,493$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…c12fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,153$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 76c | 3,942$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,817$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…f104backed No | 32c | 3,773$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…0150backed No | 32c | 3,773$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…893fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,687$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d36…ce19backed Yes | 28c | 3,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…d40ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,494$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,392$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,294$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e73…8f73backed Yes | 75c | 3,292$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…0c1ebacked No | 47c | 3,164$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…c781backed Yes | 48c | 3,072$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yes | 57c | 3,009$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…7c42backed Yes | 33c | 3,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 77c | 2,798$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d52…58f0backed Yes | 15c | 2,787$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,759$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Yes | 62c | 2,745$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…ea41backed No | 33c | 2,684$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 61c | 2,682$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 44c | 2,605$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…3608backed Yes | 50c | 2,539$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Yes | 78c | 2,519$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…d4e1backed Yes | 28c | 2,506$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…c452backed No | 37c | 2,486$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,475$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 65c | 2,468$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.22 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…89b5backed Yes | 2c | 2,467$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,461$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 67c | 2,453$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…51dbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,446$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Yes | 41c | 2,411$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 2,374$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 2,340$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.33 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 79c | 2,280$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8123backed Yes | 64c | 2,244$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 31c | 2,228$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…bc07backed No | 32c | 2,227$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…20c3backed No | 32c | 2,227$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 72c | 2,209$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.6 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 2,194$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.49 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed Yes | 53c | 2,161$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,152$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.11 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…17b6backed Yes | 72c | 2,141$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 2,122$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 61c | 2,041$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 2,038$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.45 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.8 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed Yes | 56c | 1,997$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…c3b9backed No | 22c | 1,987$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…ac44backed No | 75c | 1,936$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 1,903$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.48 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 67c | 1,857$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…5bedbacked Yes | 56c | 1,838$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…41dcbacked No | 34c | 1,800$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d87cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,759$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 38c | 1,748$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.71 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed No | 74c | 1,661$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Yes | 38c | 1,618$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…5c5dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 41c | 1,579$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.54 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…9247backed Yes | 6c | 1,563$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…a90fbacked No | 74c | 1,530$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…93bcbacked No | 29c | 1,475$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…98babacked Yes | 37c | 1,406$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 76c | 1,406$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.52 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52d…0909backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…5ec7backed Yes | 46c | 1,395$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 25c | 1,382$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…d54ebacked No | 78c | 1,277$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…0edebacked No | 49c | 1,275$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 37c | 1,250$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…b203backed No | 41c | 1,211$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…26f0backed Yes | 56c | 1,185$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed No | 66c | 1,183$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…0403backed Yes | 69c | 1,123$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?this page
- Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.