TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0c6…b50b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
366
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Stocks, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 62 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT8946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.59
Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Bilozertsevbacked Nikita Bilozertsev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.19
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.92
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.27
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$20.5
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Jack Kennedybacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.56
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.98
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$301.35
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$38.12
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$425.38
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.79
Savannah: Nick Hardt vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$234.57
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$66.74
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$178.2
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.23
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$576.72
Madrid Open: Magdalena Frech vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$111.73
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Gwangju: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Hyeon Chungbacked Hyeon Chung · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.17
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$152.96
Madrid Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.47
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Max Wiskandtbacked Max Wiskandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$152.04
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.2
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$110.88
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$187.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.86
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$134.4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$12.71
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$125.55
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$111
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93.62
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$168.29
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$109.59
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$105.38
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$176.4
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.46
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$378.86
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.71
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.85
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$230
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$118.87
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.45
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$110.15
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$107.74
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$815.76
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$340.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$594
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$108.21
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$122.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$92.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$66.1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.71
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$57.81
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.1%+$497.83
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$305.71
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$425.91
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.8%+$72.19
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2688.5%23 W · 3 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+35.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Stocks — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$168.2
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$54.27
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$140.91
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $670?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$172.39
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $260?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$195.41
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+57.9%+$330
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$279
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.7%+$158.39
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36.4%+$240
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$108.77
Will Meta dip to $600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+57.1%+$327
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$84
Will Google dip to $285 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.5%+$250.05
Will Apple dip to $240 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.3%+$163.92
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$23.6
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$324
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.7%+$153.45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,940 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$315
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.5%+$242.76
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$333
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$210
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.7%+$290.62
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$328.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$101.12
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.25
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$235.15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.84
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.97
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$84.59
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$417.77
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$80.7
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$107.8
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.7%+$78.95
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.9%+$274.36
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$59.2
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+625.6%+$769.1
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$46.4
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$452.15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$127.19
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$374.34
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$70.97
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$31.13
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.41
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$156
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$174
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$174
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+39.9%+$171
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+46.9%+$92.97
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.86
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$969.42
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$930.98
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+102.9%+$2,327.66
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,690.05
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42.69
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$972.92
Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,281.83
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$186.92
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$127.6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.31
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.01
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.31
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.28
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.41
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$31.35
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+854.1%+$972.58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$470.02
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$188.22
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$234
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$602.08
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$59.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.22
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$97.15
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42%+$177.39
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$172.2
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.99
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.48
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.57
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.83
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$600.4
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+535.9%+$517.55
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$71.58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$106.51
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.4
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$82.79
Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$98.73
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.69
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.68
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$45.43
Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$76.65
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$221.5
Will Laurie Buckhout be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$452.49
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.8
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$171
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$79.4
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.2
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$203.8
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$153.3
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.21
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$263.87
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$84.22
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$760.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$172.2
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228.06
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$108.46
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$162.76
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$167.13
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$138.6
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$188.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$92.4
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.6
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$78.26
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$159.8
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$30.38
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$55.75
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$176
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$293.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.