World Politics · resolved market
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc4f31b38275f05645321ee415122886de33827a7d25c910029964de982b6cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 6c | 4,758$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.18 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…da08backed No | 11c | 4,747$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 17c | 4,476$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b3e3backed No | 13c | 4,242$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed No | 9c | 2,603$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…e51dbacked No | 15c | 2,489$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed No | 15c | 2,215$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.73 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…dc52backed No | 8c | 2,207$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…de0cbacked No | 6c | 2,189$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…3c82backed No | 13c | 2,161$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 18c | 1,558$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 11c | 1,472$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 1,407$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked No | 11c | 1,266$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 14c | 1,174$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…fa29backed No | 9c | 1,008$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 13c | 942.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…ac94backed No | 10c | 939.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 921.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed No | 11c | 872.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 801.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 9c | 791.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 11c | 790.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…bc29backed No | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 12c | 636.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 12c | 528.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 9c | 454.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 430.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 9c | 420.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 410.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 17c | 404.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 14c | 360.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 304.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 12c | 303.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 12c | 284.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…f6c6backed No | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…67d0backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 10c | 219.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…662dbacked No | 7c | 210$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…6ecfbacked No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +135%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…66b9backed No | 12c | 170$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…f25cbacked No | 15c | 167.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…6d9dbacked No | 13c | 153.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed No | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 78c | 140.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…bf31backed Yes | 72c | 138.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 9c | 138.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed No | 14c | 112.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…d58dbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 20c | 90.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…cc5dbacked No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…a61cbacked No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa627…1ce4backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…2c6fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Kla Tham Party (KT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.