TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2afd…deb4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
998
Categories scored
51
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst IPO at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT7522.7%17 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$43.8
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.95
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+277.5%+$66.27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.48
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.64
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.72
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.48
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+119.9%+$33.52
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Will Apple reach $284 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+68.3%+$9.69
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Will Opendoor reach $6.50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.76
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Google dip to $285 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.74
Will Tesla dip to $330 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Tesla dip to $293 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.3%+$6.02
Will NVIDIA dip to $144 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.8%+$19.98
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+98.6%+$68.87
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT749.5%7 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.12
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.65
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.78
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,343.9%+$563.48
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$62.83
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.83
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65.94
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.79
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.6%+$10.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+959.3%+$169.52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.09
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.23
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT6836.8%25 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$24.13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5.48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+540.4%+$136.51
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.15
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$58.07
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+260%+$829.58
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$6.53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+67%+$19.42
Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$6.82
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$7.86
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+392.3%+$1,207.63
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$332.55
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$200.19
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$37.39
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+836.6%+$738.41
Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$45.08
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+60%+$16.31
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$26.18
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.47
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.79
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$16.07
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$35.62
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.26
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+36%+$32.86
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$3.82
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+107%+$56.56
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$18.62
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$6.31
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.65
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$6.12
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$14.96
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will the San Antonio Spurs finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.99
Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$3.44
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.67
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.74
Will BNB reach $800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Will BNB dip to $500 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52.2%+$8.79
Will BNB dip to $300 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.58
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$187.23
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$243.6
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.78
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$19.57
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+468.7%+$59.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.23
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$17.11
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$7.72
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$24.03
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$7.05
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.67
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$58.06
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+302.2%+$344.06
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.89
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$69
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$8.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25.6%+$3.84
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.74
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+306.1%+$50.58
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$15.47
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$65.29
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$59.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+267.1%+$203.25
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$186.77
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.57
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.74
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$50.94
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.43
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$84.98
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.48
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+209.4%+$939.36
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.12
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52.23
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$136.45
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.07
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.77
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$139.11
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+207.1%+$36.16
Will Super Bowl LX have between 120M and 124M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+642%+$243.99
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.87
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.49
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.48
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.47
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+318%+$57.64
Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+34.1%+$7.54
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+471.1%+$79.24
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+59.8%+$6.18
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.71
Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69.78
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.62
Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.72
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.39
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$13.07
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.89
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$12.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.52
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+360%+$94.56
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+45.7%+$5.3
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+60.2%+$6.02
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$106.42
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.02
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$126.66
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$3.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$303.79
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$10.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$9.49
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.79
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.66
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$189.51
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.84
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.87
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+97.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$10.52
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.75
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$9.69
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.17
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.93
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.14
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$52.03
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.63
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$5.54
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+370.9%+$921.97
Will The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.23
Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+546.8%+$103.54
Will Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$90.3
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+1,634%+$272.23
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+1,321.9%+$505.66
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+140.7%+$56.3
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$8.24
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.29
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.37
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$5.37
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$12.28
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$8.95
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.87
Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$48.82
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.16
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$5.9
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35%+$14.91
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$7.54
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$56.35
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.51
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$11.84
Will Everett Jackson be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.94
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.8%+$7.45
FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+80.8%+$13.23
FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.4
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+119%+$12.42
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+141.7%+$53.02
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.2%+$11.79
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.21
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.19
Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+231%+$28.56
FC Twente '65 vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+155.9%+$19.79
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+155%+$15.53
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
Will NEC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$17.06
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.4m & 14.6m square kilometers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$6.72
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$6.78
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+261.2%+$116.15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$28.73
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$20.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.74
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.95
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.42
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.6%+$27.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28%+$15.32
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$29
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.14
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.97
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.14
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42%+$28.54
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$6.05
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$4.21
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$9.9
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$4.97
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$5.44
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.79
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$72.17
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
Will Czechia win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Finland vs. Andorra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Will France win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47.27
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+1,722.8%+$415.59
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51%+$47.42
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+124.1%+$32.44
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110.77
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+151.2%+$54.4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+73.2%+$8.67
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+103.8%+$29.14
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+68.5%+$6.99
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+695.7%+$108.69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.22
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.07
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.19
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+204.4%+$26.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+137.9%+$23.74
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
FC Andorra vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$26.85
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$773.31
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.44
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$11.25
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.53
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.63
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.59
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$20.65
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$41.24
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Portsmouth FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+270.1%+$29.86
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66.27
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+222.9%+$30.84
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Southampton FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
All 24 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$20
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.8%+$4.69
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+64.3%+$18.73
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Karlsruher SC vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+67.3%+$8.48
SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
FC Schalke 04 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+447.3%+$61.13
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$431.96
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.71
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$5.93
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$49.69
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$10.55
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+259.5%+$57.8
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$4.98
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$6.85
Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+197.3%+$43.62
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75%+$12.37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+102.5%+$21.34
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee State Tigersbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.06
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flamesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.27
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+144.3%+$37.83
Bradley Braves vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Columbia Lions vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.74
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.6
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.41
Will Mira Nair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.43
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.03
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$39.03
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.64
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$3.71
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.34
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$8.73
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$44.14
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+264.9%+$143.81
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$16.27
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.12
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.11
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+181.1%+$105.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.84
Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$7.73
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+277.6%+$38.08
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$125.1
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.43
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$43.58
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.58
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+656.1%+$499.2
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+242.8%+$767.51
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+89.3%+$50.45
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.68
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$134.39
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.46
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.11
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$160.12
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$149.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+101%+$21.02
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+219.5%+$29.04
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+102.7%+$32.62
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.54
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.98
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-76.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$4.05
Will New Zealand finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.12
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.2%+$7
T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.05
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.02
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
T20 World Cup: Scotland vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-85%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.14
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.69
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+65.1%+$9.05
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.27
Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$11.63
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$3.98
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.21
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+315.5%+$157.48
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+152.3%+$21.86
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.34
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Trump attend UFC 326?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+54.6%+$6.94
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+220.4%+$120.49
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+210.7%+$24.21
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Morono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$8.34
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.9
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$9.64
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$6.47
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+167.7%+$26.11
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)backed Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
Ostrava Open: Tatjana Maria vs Katie Volynetsbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.8%+$7.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+34.7%+$6.21
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+116.1%+$15.06
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+332.1%+$122.22
LoL: Lille Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
LoL: S2G Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Group Bbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$376.13
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$3.64
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+225.5%+$31.89
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.97
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44.79
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$87.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-75.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.93
Anadolu Efes vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.3%+$11.37
BC Dubai vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+79.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+154.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$343.2
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$5.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Speed Chess QF: Nakamura vs Sobacked So · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.