South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b11312cb55bd426ac8ee28a4837ebafa9d854b6c11f92aadb781608ab671f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Yes | 38c | 2,895$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 62c | 2,529$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,142$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 30c | 2,075$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.72 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 63c | 1,486$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 10c | 1,463$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 1,453$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 40c | 1,048$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 681.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 7c | 674.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 64c | 529.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 519.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 64c | 481.42$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 39c | 448.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 439.85$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 62c | 309.68$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…123dbacked Yes | 20c | 306.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 15c | 279.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 8c | 240.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 235.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 63c | 201.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 37c | 165.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No | 63c | 158.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 37c | 120.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 41c | 90.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 14c | 89.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 14c | 85.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 81.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 42c | 72.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked No | 60c | 70.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…c07fbacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 38c | 63.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 46c | 51.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 39c | 50.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…9cb4backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 39c | 48.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…3ba7backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 40c | 37.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 37c | 35.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…4396backed No | 63c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 64c | 25.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 59c | 25.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Yes | 39c | 25.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed No | 63c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 63c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 61c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…f27bbacked No | 80c | 17.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-18?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.