TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c64…cb26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5046%23 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,519.7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.97
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$161.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$179.2
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+228.6%+$243.5
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$408.7
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.5
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.67
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.46
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$382.15
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$25
Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$23.16
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.9
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.48
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.9
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.99
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$120.97
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.35
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$132.62
CR Flamengo vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$203.34
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.22
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.54
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.88
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$78.09
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$110.7
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brasilia: Facundo Acosta vs Luis Guto Miguelbacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Brasilia: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Brasilia: Guto Miguel vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$129.28
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+147.2%+$147.21
Brasilia: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Elmer Moellerbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$51.91
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Chile Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
ATX Open: Peyton Stearns vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baezbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Merida Open Akron: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lugano: Petr Brunclik vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Chile Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Emilio Navabacked Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$56.58
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draperbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Busebacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29%+$22.5
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.5%+$37.15
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+110.2%+$214.34
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.8
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.42
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.48
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$226.41
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.4
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$167.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+101%+$109.88
Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.63
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.7
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.6
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+67.8%+$204.16
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$284.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$151.99
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$77.47
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+57.5%+$73
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$77.71
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$65.13
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$186
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-72.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$28.19
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.4%+$92.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.