South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e3313f57488da211d7729d6cb37d279a6cd8a682bf9e36208bc3de059b8febf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 49c | 5,947$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 3,091$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,898$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,856$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.9 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.48 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 51c | 1,719$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.09 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 1,394$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.03 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 1,321$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 19c | 912.59$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 51c | 753.88$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 753.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 18c | 661.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 51c | 625.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…ba90backed Yes | 48c | 506.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 49c | 494.39$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 51c | 405.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 368.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Yes | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 338.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 305.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 52c | 284.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 76c | 274.91$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 14c | 263.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 11c | 262.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 48c | 217.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 23c | 207.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…32d4backed Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 197.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…c58dbacked Yes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 18c | 190.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 40c | 173$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 52c | 170.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 170.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 50c | 155.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 66c | 151.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 150.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 7c | 147.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 41c | 138.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 34c | 138.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 49c | 128.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 119.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…caf1backed Yes | 46c | 105.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 23c | 101.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 101.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 95.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 41c | 95.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 30c | 94.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 42c | 89.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 41c | 86.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 80.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…a2dcbacked Yes | 49c | 71.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 19c | 64.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 50c | 61.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…03d1backed Yes | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 55.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 49c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 49c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 49c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 30c | 48.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 51c | 47.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked No | 71c | 47.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 44.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 43.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 42.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 48c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…16fcbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 51c | 38.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 49c | 36.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…7ed1backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 29.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 52c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 51c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 75c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 72c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…0cd5backed Yes | 51c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.