TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea32…8870backed Yes20c35,671$7,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,536.753053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c16,254$13,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,002.8742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c9,110$7,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,255.853,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No80c1,988$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.147170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No80c1,778$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.724637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No80c1,315$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.227959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No65c1,239$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.48268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes21c1,148$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.657047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No80c1,056$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.9422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No80c1,009$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8071764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c985.49$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.782,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes27c869.07$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.2233745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c746.56$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.31,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c745.21$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.518,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No36c736.71$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6712828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c708.14$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.691,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes30c590.98$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.818338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No80c526.64$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.141,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c513.7$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.911,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No80c494$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.24555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes38c450.31$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.928740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c440.83$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.661,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No80c413.81$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0533266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No60c407.15$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.665062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c322.07$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.81,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f13…6a96backed No79c313.89$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.09966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c288.06$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.451,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No80c240$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No45c236.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Yes54c225.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c222.63$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.431,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No79c204.74$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes27c202.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.022944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No73c184$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.322864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No78c179.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c171$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.221,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No77c171$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.222,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No32c155.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No80c154.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.375844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes40c153.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No67c150.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.852740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561a…7be2backed Yes71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked Yes50c129.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.612871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No80c125.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No22c121.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.845343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No80c113.62$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.96369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes27c101.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.012979.3%23 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked No38c100.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.182646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes19c100.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.122138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes21c99.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.985438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No80c96.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0647758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No38c86.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8330231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No35c83.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4613023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8921252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes47c82.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6722145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No21c75.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes55c69.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No80c66.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.155156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No80c65.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.568350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No74c62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8829653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No79c61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.192,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No80c60.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c58.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes22c51.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3432936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No71c49.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.886668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No80c46.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked No80c45.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.222867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No79c44.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No47c41.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2724654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No80c39.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4226160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed No31c39.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c39.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92af…8b55backed No79c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.622176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No80c36.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.037867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No80c35.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.655660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No80c35.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6515457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes35c35.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked No43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.493923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No80c33.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8738861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes48c33.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.315042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No51c30.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Yes77c30.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.913100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No80c24.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9219356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes68c23.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5310654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked No80c20.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No79c20.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x986e…839ebacked No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d54…32b5backed Yes74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c48…4995backed Yes53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No80c19.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.463562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No80c16.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2528665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed No80c14.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.663652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.