South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec1b122cc82ec78f818fc9b60b2050d7182ce73a6851821cf7d4f28cd915d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,366$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 29c | 1,285$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,249$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 37c | 871.04$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked No | 70c | 833.33$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 30c | 798.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 31c | 497.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 426.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 32c | 374.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 22c | 367.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 69c | 359.67$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 332$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 284.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 256.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 254.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 237.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 230.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 227.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 25c | 189.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 183$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 181.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 173.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 70c | 171.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 167.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 70c | 151.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 138.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 135.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Yes | 18c | 134.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked No | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…0816backed Yes | 15c | 93.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 91.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 22c | 85.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 30c | 81.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 71c | 77.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 16c | 73.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 21c | 67.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 71c | 67.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Yes | 37c | 65.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 63.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 32c | 57.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 49.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 48.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 42.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 68c | 39.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 71c | 34.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 30c | 33.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 33.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 70c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed No | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 68c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…308bbacked No | 69c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 70c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 71c | 16.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.