TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a30…e0c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
411
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT13041.5%54 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Dimitrov vs Ferybacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$284.98
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$149.18
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 3 Winner: Fokina vs Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 3 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$111.78
Set 3 Winner: Struff vs Medvedevbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$52.69
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Safiullin vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Set 2 Winner: Mensik vs Dimitrovbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$83.64
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Dimitrovbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Safiullin vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rublev vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.1
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12033.3%40 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.09
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.05
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$108.65
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$94.42
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.56
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$109.43
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$324.85
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$86.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$180.43
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$196.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$57.24
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$39.47
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$34.92
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$241.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+54%+$29.69
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.8
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$51.17
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$42.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$250.21
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.39
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$81.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.53
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.91
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.95
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.1
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.63
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.97
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$454.98
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$201.79
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.46
Spread: Celtics (-19.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.39
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.68
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.15
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.53
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.81
CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$184.1
Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)backed CS Cienciano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$145.69
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.34
Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.5
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$60.36
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)backed CA Lanús · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.54
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.09
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$239.04
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$289.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$163.83
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$300.4
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.19
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+139%+$369.63
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$268.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.