MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d22b5bf54af3696b27fb40f61f134d05e09399d0b2bce6bcc1805aefde897c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 20,538$10,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.26 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 50c | 12,981$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.8 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 9,181$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 8,913$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.6 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 8,667$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.58 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 7,214$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.99 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Over | 46c | 4,190$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 3,617$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,953$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.21 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 34c | 2,318$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.48 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,868$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.76 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 1,319$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.7 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,284$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.58 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,207$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.84 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 52c | 1,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 917.73$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.22 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 823.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.47 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 51c | 760.67$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 581.92$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.78 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 373$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 353.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.57 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Under | 77c | 335.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Under | 55c | 319.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 58c | 302.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 57c | 289$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 185$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 169.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 30c | 168.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 49c | 160.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…e571backed Under | 68c | 146.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 142.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 62c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Over | 52c | 123.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 50c | 118.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 37c | 96.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 72c | 83.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 78.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 73.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 67.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 65.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 50c | 60.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Under | 44c | 45.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 47c | 44.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 41.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 47c | 41.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Over | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 66c | 33.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…eae1backed Under | 75c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 52c | 33.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 30.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Over | 50c | 26.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 58c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 59c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York MetsChicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.