MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad4002cb09c738a5a1a5d0a3875fa64d8515f38859f760f21f9fe01c7ae41d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 79,024$39,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,112.15 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 77,777$39,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,110.68 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed New York Mets | 49c | 60,000$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,600 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 49c | 46,368$22,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,731.96 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 15,469$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.25 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 49c | 13,339$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 43c | 11,395$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.35 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Mets | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 50c | 8,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 38c | 7,874$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.59 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 7,534$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.72 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 7,129$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.27 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 49c | 6,698$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed New York Mets | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 41c | 5,449$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked New York Mets | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed New York Mets | 57c | 4,952$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.76 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,758$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.29 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 47c | 4,652$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,955$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 3,655$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.83 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked New York Mets | 37c | 3,502$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.25 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 3,329$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 3,169$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 50c | 3,140$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.96 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed New York Mets | 52c | 3,065$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.69 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,036$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.28 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,320$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,257$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.48 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 2,102$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.56 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,976$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,934$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,897$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.83 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,868$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.72 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,661$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,610$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.5 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,584$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,436$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.4 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 23c | 1,432$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.36 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,335$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked New York Mets | 27c | 1,305$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 1,275$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.34 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 36c | 1,159$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.22 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 990.77$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.55 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets | 49c | 979$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.71 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 48c | 972.2$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed New York Mets | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 844.98$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 844.1$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Mets | 34c | 786.25$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 775.1$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed New York Mets | 50c | 747.38$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 702.33$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 625.08$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.18 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked New York Mets | 50c | 590.28$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 569.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.59 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 565.4$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 560.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.98 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 540.53$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 36c | 537$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 532.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 522.11$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 518.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.95 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 504.9$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Mets | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed New York Mets | 57c | 496.49$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 492.16$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked New York Mets | 43c | 490.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 476.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 475.41$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.04 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…04ffbacked New York Mets | 51c | 455.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 453.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Mets | 47c | 451.72$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed New York Mets | 50c | 444.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.62 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 435.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked New York Mets | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked New York Mets | 39c | 404.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed New York Mets | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 42c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed New York Mets | 48c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 38c | 397.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed New York Mets | 50c | 394.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 392.8$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 386.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 57c | 384.69$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 383.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 355.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.