Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615b53e843ce5214960b5923de910a984b58f6241c8ea6faa5c6679b6ce2c1e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,155$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.88 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 778.78$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Yes | 75c | 757.34$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 558.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 516.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 395.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 18c | 383.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 38c | 355.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 79c | 324.31$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 25c | 310.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 39c | 309.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 64c | 250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 244$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 10c | 199.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 11c | 175.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…8084backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 134.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 43c | 110.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 94.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 29c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…cb17backed Yes | 72c | 84.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 80.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 21c | 72.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Yes | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 30c | 59.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 56.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 74c | 55.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 70c | 50.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 48c | 48.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 76c | 48.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 76c | 33.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 78c | 32.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Yes | 80c | 21.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Yes | 62c | 17.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 65c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.