TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x797f…8084

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT6530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Jessica Pieri vs Sijia Weibacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.17
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.82
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$213.79
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90.02
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.15
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.32
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$229.49
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$116.98
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$151.11
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$40.42
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$27.94
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellienbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.67
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.34
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.8
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$115.2
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$93.66
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$166.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.