Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c1a49509bedad90528e39a49f12d8aca8d24c647e7de0ce7c88e1123ae0303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Juan Manuel La Serna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 33c | 14,020$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.5 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 19c | 7,666$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 25c | 4,276$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Guido Justo | 69c | 3,356$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Guido Justo | 64c | 1,918$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.36 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 19c | 1,559$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Guido Justo | 65c | 1,513$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.38 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo | 69c | 1,412$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Guido Justo | 67c | 1,314$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.4 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guido Justo | 73c | 1,289$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.65 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Guido Justo | 72c | 1,184$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.54 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 23c | 1,112$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guido Justo | 66c | 1,094$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Guido Justo | 67c | 1,052$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 4c | 863.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Guido Justo | 67c | 755.63$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.06 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Guido Justo | 70c | 751.27$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Guido Justo | 70c | 751.27$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 35c | 686.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo | 65c | 656.98$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 35c | 554.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guido Justo | 65c | 533.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Guido Justo | 65c | 516.22$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Guido Justo | 64c | 496.22$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 41c | 470.51$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 42c | 406.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 38c | 365.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Guido Justo | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Guido Justo | 66c | 309.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 27c | 283.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Guido Justo | 68c | 281.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…8084backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 23c | 269.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 37c | 249.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Guido Justo | 64c | 229.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Guido Justo | 67c | 225.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Guido Justo | 67c | 225.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Guido Justo | 67c | 225.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 35c | 197.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 38c | 195$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Guido Justo | 65c | 179.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 33c | 170.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Guido Justo | 65c | 153.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Guido Justo | 67c | 153.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Guido Justo | 74c | 147.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Guido Justo | 64c | 142.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Guido Justo | 64c | 142.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Guido Justo | 53c | 115.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 39c | 114.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 23c | 111.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 31c | 102.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 33c | 91.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 31c | 91.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 86.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Guido Justo | 71c | 85.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Guido Justo | 62c | 84.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Guido Justo | 64c | 76.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 33c | 76.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Guido Justo | 67c | 73.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Guido Justo | 64c | 68.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 27c | 63.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Guido Justo | 64c | 61.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Guido Justo | 71c | 61.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Guido Justo | 64c | 58.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…4776backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Guido Justo | 55c | 54.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 32c | 49.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Guido Justo | 65c | 44.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Guido Justo | 64c | 43.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Guido Justo | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Guido Justo | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Guido Justo | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Guido Justo | 70c | 40.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Guido Justo | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Guido Justo | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Guido Justo | 68c | 38.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 45c | 37.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Guido Justo | 77c | 36.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 37c | 36.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Guido Justo | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 30c | 34.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Guido Justo | 64c | 34.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Guido Justo | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Guido Justo | 57c | 32.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 44c | 31.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Guido Justo | 66c | 27.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Guido Justo | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Guido Justo | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Guido Justo | 65c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campinas: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Sernathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Justo vs SernaJusto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.