TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b0a…bd3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT3278.1%25 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brasov: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Roland Garros WTA: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.87
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$34.4
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Max Wiskandtbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$34.84
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.32
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fominbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.68
Shymkent: Oleksii Krutykh vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$31.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$58.94
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$74.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$66.07
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.43
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$94.56
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jonesbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$31
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$30.51
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$121.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$60.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.