Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24681f2dfd62d54751c5aa1656d84c2317e0e9bbba83651cefa94015dcef8c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Tomas Machac, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,455,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tomas Machac | 12c | 40,157$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.65 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 26,604$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.24 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 26,515$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.08 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 24,341$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.96 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Tomas Machac | 10c | 22,911$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.19 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Tomas Machac | 8c | 20,749$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.9 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 20,101$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.77 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tomas Machac | 13c | 18,560$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Machac | 10c | 13,161$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Jannik Sinner | 80c | 12,873$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tomas Machac | 20c | 12,583$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 9,924$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.42 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 9,576$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Tomas Machac | 9c | 8,018$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.2 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tomas Machac | 20c | 7,726$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.2 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 5,899$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tomas Machac | 12c | 5,746$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Tomas Machac | 3c | 5,462$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Jannik Sinner | 79c | 5,023$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.45 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Tomas Machac | 3c | 4,875$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Jannik Sinner | 76c | 4,749$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Tomas Machac | 4c | 4,688$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 3,781$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Tomas Machac | 8c | 3,144$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…b09dbacked Tomas Machac | 8c | 3,026$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked Tomas Machac | 5c | 3,007$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 3,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 2,491$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 2,462$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 2,371$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Tomas Machac | 5c | 2,358$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…336cbacked Tomas Machac | 5c | 2,308$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 2,201$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Tomas Machac | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Tomas Machac | 19c | 2,000$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Tomas Machac | 16c | 1,979$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 1,959$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Tomas Machac | 5c | 1,956$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tomas Machac | 6c | 1,946$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…d05fbacked Tomas Machac | 10c | 1,944$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tomas Machac | 8c | 1,897$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Tomas Machac | 5c | 1,766$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,742$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Tomas Machac | 8c | 1,499$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Tomas Machac | 19c | 1,471$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.49 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,414$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,406$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Tomas Machac | 13c | 1,403$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jannik Sinner | 75c | 1,307$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Tomas Machac | 15c | 1,262$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Jannik Sinner | 79c | 1,260$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ce…31b1backed Tomas Machac | 17c | 1,241$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,235$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Tomas Machac | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Tomas Machac | 20c | 1,195$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,190$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Tomas Machac | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…dc82backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 1,178$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…3748backed Tomas Machac | 9c | 1,166$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 1,162$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…fb99backed Tomas Machac | 25c | 1,142$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Jannik Sinner | 80c | 1,100$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Tomas Machac | 9c | 1,096$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 1,094$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Tomas Machac | 11c | 1,090$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Jannik Sinner | 76c | 999.98$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Tomas Machac | 21c | 930.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 922.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tomas Machac | 4c | 887.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 882.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Tomas Machac | 12c | 876.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…2b69backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 863.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 856.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Tomas Machac | 2c | 821.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Jannik Sinner | 79c | 808.55$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…494bbacked Tomas Machac | 6c | 794.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…aeb8backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 784.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Tomas Machac | 16c | 783.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Tomas Machac | 13c | 735.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tomas Machac | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Tomas Machac | 2c | 699.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Tomas Machac | 10c | 689.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Tomas Machac | 16c | 664.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a4…9eaebacked Tomas Machac | 4c | 658.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Jannik Sinner | 75c | 654.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tomas Machac | 9c | 626.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Tomas Machac | 25c | 603.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Tomas Machac | 2c | 603.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 599.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 591.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 589$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Tomas Machac | 14c | 569.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 562.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Tomas Machac | 3c | 540.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Tomas Machac | 15c | 534.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 529.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…48e5backed Jannik Sinner | 80c | 494$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…98eebacked Tomas Machac | 2c | 491.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…b852backed Tomas Machac | 4c | 486.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Tomas Machac | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Machac vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Machac vs SinnerSinner won
- Tomas Machac vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.