TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93cb…3485

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
324
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT30439.8%121 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 304 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.28
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.16
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosabacked Jessica Hinojosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.51
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$981.92
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+199%+$1,501.5
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.69
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$911.02
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Abdullah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.17
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$81.65
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.7
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+324.2%+$1,336.74
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$276.39
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.65
Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.48
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.9
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
National Bank Open (Doubles): Siniakova/Zhang vs Andreeva/Cirsteabacked Andreeva/Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.37
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.34
ITF Landisville: Ayana Akli vs Carolyn Ansaribacked Carolyn Ansari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
ITF Frankfurt: Arian Barbic vs Pierre Delagebacked Pierre Delage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.96
ITF Roehampton: Mark Ceban vs George Loffhagenbacked George Loffhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.43
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,289.82
Showing 25 of 304 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+257.8%+$451.07
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$66.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.75
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$22.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$42.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$51.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.