Middle East · resolved market
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5524f0e0b97241aafa4e26dbc0cdf436256ccb180ab38933dfd2f1b5939fc81b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $766,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $766,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 68c | 35,892$24,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,569.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 39c | 25,703$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961.14 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 4c | 20,931$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.88 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 45c | 18,723$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,427.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 19c | 17,900$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.65 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 22c | 16,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 1c | 13,568$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 79c | 13,526$10,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.07 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42d4…05d1backed No | 8c | 13,333$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 66c | 12,004$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 78c | 11,988$9,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.11 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 4c | 11,550$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 22c | 11,152$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked No | 10c | 10,925$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…067ebacked Yes | 69c | 10,408$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed Yes | 76c | 9,425$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.29 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed No | 1c | 9,033$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +820.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 10c | 8,975$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.05 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 77c | 7,706$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.37 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 78c | 7,100$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.77 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 31c | 7,027$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 9c | 6,854$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.6 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 72c | 6,289$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 28c | 5,849$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.03 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 14c | 5,841$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.15 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 14c | 5,591$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 12c | 4,880$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.92 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 29c | 4,751$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.65 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 21c | 4,733$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.2 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 26c | 4,693$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 60c | 4,619$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 32c | 4,532$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.83 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…4a7bbacked No | 28c | 4,248$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 69c | 4,210$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.81 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 4,138$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.93 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed No | 20c | 4,055$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…e8febacked No | 57c | 4,010$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 24c | 3,820$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.64 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed No | 16c | 3,287$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…9b54backed No | 3c | 3,213$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…ec99backed No | 21c | 3,200$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked No | 25c | 3,167$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 72c | 3,167$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4ae5backed No | 50c | 3,140$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…7a37backed No | 30c | 3,128$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed No | 1c | 3,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…3718backed Yes | 69c | 2,870$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 2,830$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.01 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 72c | 2,810$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 1c | 2,748$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 17c | 2,704$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.87 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 79c | 2,674$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed No | 21c | 2,600$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Yes | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 22c | 2,434$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,358$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.86 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 71c | 2,254$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.23 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked No | 21c | 2,217$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 31c | 2,111$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 15c | 2,037$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 2c | 2,018$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1d43backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 25c | 1,991$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.63 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,780$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.45 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 78c | 1,712$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…6bf6backed No | 17c | 1,675$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 70c | 1,674$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c9…d2a2backed No | 2c | 1,635$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed No | 25c | 1,577$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 26c | 1,555$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 23c | 1,511$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.57 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 23c | 1,510$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed Yes | 71c | 1,466$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 1,400$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 24c | 1,395$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 52c | 1,388$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.45 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…4f07backed Yes | 22c | 1,377$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 26c | 1,371$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 29c | 1,362$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed No | 23c | 1,350$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0522backed Yes | 73c | 1,346$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…cb0ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 18c | 1,232$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.63 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…c0f4backed Yes | 23c | 1,230$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 77c | 1,211$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,205$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.95 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 75c | 1,196$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 49c | 1,165$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 10c | 1,154$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked No | 18c | 1,148$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 35c | 1,137$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 77c | 1,134$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2a…c8c8backed No | 29c | 1,121$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked No | 30c | 1,097$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed No | 28c | 1,089$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 18c | 1,088$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.