TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc0f…0522

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$13.43
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$75.14
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$97.78
France vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Cornerbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$61.85
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$540.93
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,325.58
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$505.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.49
All 25 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+36.3%+$358.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+40.5%+$81.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$253.91
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$50.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.79
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$260.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.7%+$45.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.4%+$85.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.