Movies · resolved market
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c0a8ea0b9f3c6dc3ff1cd5163c280eeb075f17b23e50632f01a9da78683062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,372,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $854,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80b1…1846backed Yes | 0c | 237,981$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…445fbacked Yes | 15c | 50,977$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 2c | 40,057$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…233abacked Yes | 7c | 36,853$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a4…60dabacked Yes | 8c | 34,742$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 3c | 29,892$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.81 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 29,258$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 26,893$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…a709backed Yes | 2c | 26,599$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…e72bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 1c | 17,970$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1b…51bbbacked Yes | 4c | 15,866$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 15,118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Yes | 2c | 13,872$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked Yes | 2c | 12,947$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…7621backed Yes | 2c | 12,524$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,862$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.53 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 10c | 9,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,291$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 9,017$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed Yes | 7c | 8,990$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…ab99backed Yes | 9c | 8,137$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…c2e1backed Yes | 3c | 8,054$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 14c | 8,045$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 7c | 7,847$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 9c | 7,476$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.66 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed Yes | 9c | 7,325$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…5a48backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 6,358$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 18c | 6,023$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.26 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…c322backed Yes | 1c | 5,892$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…3b40backed Yes | 4c | 5,541$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 11c | 5,240$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 3c | 5,132$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,032$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…1ad9backed Yes | 1c | 5,003$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…63bfbacked Yes | 2c | 4,806$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…451ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…02c6backed Yes | 4c | 4,445$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,408$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 13c | 4,340$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.85 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 14c | 4,270$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…ea11backed Yes | 12c | 4,147$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 3c | 3,845$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe96…94d5backed Yes | 9c | 3,797$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,764$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 11c | 3,573$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 5c | 3,520$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…e26ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,442$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…1f69backed Yes | 1c | 3,153$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…dd82backed Yes | 1c | 3,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…a7f1backed Yes | 4c | 3,094$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…fbf4backed Yes | 1c | 3,054$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…30fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe9…d572backed Yes | 2c | 2,966$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…dbf5backed Yes | 10c | 2,935$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…2399backed Yes | 2c | 2,885$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,833$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,781$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…81f7backed Yes | 4c | 2,613$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0228backed Yes | 3c | 2,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…457bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,598$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…1af9backed Yes | 9c | 2,576$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e1e3backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 8c | 2,485$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 14c | 2,453$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 17c | 2,425$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5662…0b10backed Yes | 2c | 2,387$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…afb9backed Yes | 7c | 2,378$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 5c | 2,340$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,333$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,329$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 15c | 2,310$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,269$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0522backed Yes | 2c | 2,232$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,193$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,103$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 4c | 2,044$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…ffb2backed Yes | 0c | 2,024$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…02ecbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 9c | 1,921$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed Yes | 6c | 1,800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,768$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 1,738$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…645ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,682$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 10c | 1,680$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,634$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,614$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea5…7f90backed Yes | 2c | 1,595$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 21c | 1,587$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.78 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,581$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,530$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 2c | 1,474$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…3baabacked Yes | 2c | 1,439$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 6c | 1,430$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…47b1backed Yes | 3c | 1,406$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…e3adbacked Yes | 4c | 1,376$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,317$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.