Movies · resolved market
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f61537bf7292b7c6a3e9c1e5a8311bcbf1dd0be8a02e26814c6bd9ce65bdf87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda8…f30bbacked Yes | 23c | 50,988$11,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,727.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…3b4ebacked No | 77c | 50,988$39,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,727.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 18,106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,131$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 2c | 7,818$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 6c | 7,816$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.98 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,362$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 7c | 4,806$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 4,582$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 34c | 4,308$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.68 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 77c | 4,300$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.86 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 20c | 3,235$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.89 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 7c | 2,952$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,946$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 9c | 2,349$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 5c | 2,316$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 27c | 2,298$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.63 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…7ee8backed Yes | 1c | 2,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 42c | 1,749$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.77 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 41c | 1,701$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,393$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,330$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 38c | 1,300$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 8c | 1,248$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 1,218$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 6c | 1,161$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…9941backed Yes | 5c | 1,022$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 4c | 903.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 18c | 815$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…1317backed Yes | 17c | 813.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…b63bbacked Yes | 2c | 772.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 760.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Yes | 7c | 735.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 13c | 677.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…90f7backed Yes | 7c | 676.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 658.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…ec0cbacked Yes | 2c | 652.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 644.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed No | 60c | 601.81$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 39c | 600.24$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 2c | 564$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 6c | 553.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 66c | 539.74$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 79c | 523.08$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1176…31dcbacked Yes | 2c | 483.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…e11fbacked Yes | 4c | 470.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…a39bbacked No | 65c | 437.09$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 23c | 396.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 5c | 368.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 321.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Yes | 11c | 312.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 6c | 307.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a9…4fcdbacked Yes | 4c | 307$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…9b0dbacked Yes | 4c | 280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 10cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 268.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…82eabacked Yes | 7c | 254.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…e5e1backed Yes | 5c | 246$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…35b1backed No | 76c | 245.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 36c | 212.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec0…abc2backed Yes | 21c | 203.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 197.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 21c | 185.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…de61backed Yes | 19c | 183$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…d38fbacked Yes | 27c | 182$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…5e98backed Yes | 19c | 176$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed No | 60c | 167.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba5…4f56backed Yes | 14c | 160.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +222%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes | 9c | 147.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…a34ebacked Yes | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0c…0382backed Yes | 19c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 16c | 124.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 41c | 118.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4a…cae1backed Yes | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…d1dbbacked Yes | 19c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 36c | 102.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…324dbacked Yes | 15c | 101.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed No | 66c | 100.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…a0bcbacked Yes | 19c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed No | 75c | 76.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…dbc6backed Yes | 20c | 76.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…357fbacked Yes | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed No | 66c | 65.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…ac52backed Yes | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe441…90d2backed Yes | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…e116backed Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6b…2d1dbacked Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13be…875dbacked Yes | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…491bbacked Yes | 41c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…0bc4backed Yes | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d23…087fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…a72ebacked Yes | 30c | 41.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.