TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x502b…a1d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
984
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT25039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 250 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$114
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.9
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$91.24
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$34.64
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.9
Showing 25 of 250 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST18744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$117.93
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$158.94
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.87
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$157.5
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+263.6%+$362.49
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+566.7%+$94.96
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$378
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$476
1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$252
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300.96
Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$378
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$343
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$371
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$343
1H Spread: Texans (-7.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$312
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$431.99
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+222.6%+$483
Spread: Bills (-10.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$343
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$235
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$270
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$312
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$413
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8250%41 W · 41 L+10.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.32
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.73
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.66
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$213
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$494
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+221.4%+$124
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.3
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$25.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.2
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.68
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.25
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$53.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$323.25
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST7338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242.5
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$337.5
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$357.24
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+152.3%+$1,153.88
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$294
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$285.5
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+242.1%+$459.99
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.74
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.5
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.58
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.99
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+700%+$262.5
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$130
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$948.05
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+207.7%+$202.5
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+235.4%+$386
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+146.3%+$219.69
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+130.5%+$226.48
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$74.1
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$51.6
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.59
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4847.9%23 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.76
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$90
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+220%+$550
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$148.5
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+313.8%+$583.94
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+118%+$162.4
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$251.99
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.24
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$406
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$365.99
North Korea missile test by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+151.4%+$215.02
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.99
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+412.8%+$805
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$212
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$324
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST4847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$255
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$255
Spread: Washington (-9.5)backed Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$364
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$357
Spread: Virginia (-3.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$305.5
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+160%+$369.25
Spread: Hawaii (-7.5)backed Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$125
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Notre Dame vs. Stanford: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Spread: Illinois (-7.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LSU vs. Oklahoma: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Spread: Washington (-10.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$120
Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Spread: Texas (-8.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Spread: UNLV (-2.5)backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Spread: Florida State (-6.5)backed NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$130
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.7
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.65
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+451.9%+$2,913.06
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$111.5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$114.6
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$232
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$217.5
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$203.98
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.66
Grokipedia released by October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$75
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$311.59
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$267
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,119.5%+$440.32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$165
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.73
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$103.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$196.5
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.55
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.37
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+300%+$375
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+261.3%+$429.31
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.19
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.1
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$97.49
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+407.6%+$441.65
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$106.5
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$174.99
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+206.7%+$842.5
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$103
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$120
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$980
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$359
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$342
Will $TRUMP hit $10B FDV by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+115%+$224.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$124.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$180
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.46
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.38
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$225.51
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$120.52
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$451
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+153.3%+$597.27
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+132.7%+$513.3
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$123.43
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$493
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.18
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$810.47
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $44-48m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $48-52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+130.3%+$445.88
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross less than $25m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$210.6
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$264.26
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+79.9%+$111
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.5
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.32
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.1
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$223.48
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$915
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$359.99
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,006.59
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$281
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$495
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$36.76
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+203%+$167.5
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.8
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.48
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.01
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.5
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$204
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.31
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+34.8%+$35.61
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$33.3
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$44.08
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$385
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$165
Sandhagen vs. Figueiredobacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Bolanos vs. Lebacked Bolanos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Miller vs. Petrovićbacked Petrović · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Chikadze vs. Onamabacked Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Menifield vs. Walkerbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Bonfim vs. Williamsbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$443.97
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+214.8%+$1,296.49
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.5
Will Powell say "Economy" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.89
Will Powell say "America" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$145
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+334.8%+$77
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.5
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$170
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+111.3%+$236.99
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$247
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-67.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-64.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIAbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$289.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$108.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,298.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.