Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40433147b7260eb7a0723b4f17717c41d6114d51497e162be6481e08424c7727

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 31, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $443,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,880 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	11c	12,810$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.85	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedf…c648backed Yes	2c	11,023$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	13c	10,565$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.21	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	11c	10,131$1,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.88	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50df…1f07backed Yes	1c	10,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	10c	8,749$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.79	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	12c	7,700$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.09	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Yes	8c	7,596$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	22c	6,538$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.93	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	10c	6,019$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.69	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	19c	5,838$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.94	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	11c	5,300$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…8692backed Yes	1c	5,071$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes	6c	4,844$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	12c	4,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	4c	3,950$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	3,777$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	2c	3,191$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.72	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd99f…4400backed Yes	22c	3,165$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.26	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	20c	3,066$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5879…10e8backed No	70c	3,060$2,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	4c	3,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	3,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	2,937$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.79	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	26c	2,911$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.8	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423b…86c1backed Yes	21c	2,752$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.08	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	6c	2,513$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.35	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,437$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	2,329$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.73	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	2c	2,246$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x205e…1925backed Yes	22c	2,219$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	15c	2,209$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.14	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked Yes	4c	2,200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.27	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2178…9363backed Yes	5c	1,989$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	1,881$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.99	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	1,799$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.22	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,799$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes	6c	1,687$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.73	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	3c	1,674$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.74	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes	25c	1,605$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Yes	18c	1,539$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.68	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111d…85f7backed Yes	11c	1,518$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c72…a042backed Yes	4c	1,473$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfd…9a92backed Yes	28c	1,462$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.19	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…1c20backed Yes	8c	1,384$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4058…8b1cbacked No	79c	1,341$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.47	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	21c	1,313$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.88	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Yes	7c	1,271$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Yes	8c	1,249$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	24c	1,234$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	10c	1,222$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.2	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes	31c	1,220$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.24	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80fc…42c3backed Yes	30c	1,200$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.9	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0049…3a9abacked Yes	15c	1,170$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.18	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…fe8bbacked Yes	1c	1,167$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd166…cdc1backed Yes	24c	1,158$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.71	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	18c	1,111$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.86	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf43…b321backed Yes	23c	1,050$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.73	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes	29c	1,050$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.5	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe006…b06dbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f7…55dcbacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	23c	957.54$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.91	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd4…0f95backed Yes	11c	934.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.74	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	15c	915.99$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.4	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	35c	911.03$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes	11c	909.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	879.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd166…666ebacked Yes	11c	860$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+135%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	14c	857.27$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.64	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	12c	854.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df1…6583backed Yes	15c	830$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…9b66backed Yes	21c	827.88$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	11c	821.55$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d77…31cabacked Yes	18c	795$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes	21c	777$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.17	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e6dcbacked Yes	15c	756$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.92	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	23c	751.35$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	5c	750$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	21c	729.69$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.9	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc55…6f77backed Yes	12c	715$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	12c	686.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes	30c	673.73$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	34c	659.79$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	22c	638.84$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.98	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x328b…a089backed Yes	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	17c	600$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.43	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	11c	600$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	70c	599.98$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.99	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes	25c	575$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.25	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	24c	565.85$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.23	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	25c	563.01$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.96	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	76c	560.35$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.01	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb0…d543backed Yes	22c	555$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.1	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…02abbacked Yes	4c	553.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	552.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	27c	552.66$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event