Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c9ac344da34bffc6d982f0e4e33582b9c108c5a75d46e468459eb890d00057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $613,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked No | 9c | 38,000$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.96 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…9480backed No | 6c | 14,348$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.62 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 34c | 12,320$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.39 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…5136backed No | 1c | 10,579$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 24c | 10,130$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 23c | 8,848$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.26 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 26c | 7,800$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.29 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 26c | 5,988$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.71 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 78c | 5,109$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed No | 48c | 4,658$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 77c | 4,602$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.6 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…86c1backed Yes | 69c | 4,534$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 42c | 3,685$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.12 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 10c | 3,601$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 77c | 3,272$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.9 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 2,935$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.82 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 76c | 2,776$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a44…021cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,584$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.75 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed Yes | 75c | 2,448$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 55c | 2,381$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…9a92backed Yes | 71c | 2,167$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked No | 14c | 2,093$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes | 53c | 2,007$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.07 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…b42abacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 85 | 8.2%7 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,685$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 20c | 1,681$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.88 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…544fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,569$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +378.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 1,566$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.53 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 21c | 1,556$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.8 | 82 | 11%9 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes | 30c | 1,477$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.88 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 77c | 1,450$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed Yes | 78c | 1,319$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed Yes | 64c | 1,286$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…cdc1backed Yes | 38c | 1,196$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.07 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 5c | 1,147$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes | 22c | 1,128$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.95 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Yes | 76c | 1,109$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…0d85backed No | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 2c | 1,064$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 265 | 16.6%44 W · 221 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 77c | 1,050$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 11c | 1,025$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.7 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.64 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes | 16c | 1,010$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.3 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…97b4backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 22c | 956.05$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.05 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…9b66backed Yes | 59c | 934.57$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 77c | 860.49$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931d…dd7abacked Yes | 26c | 851.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.62 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…5998backed No | 67c | 810.36$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.94 | 155 | 20.6%32 W · 123 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes | 65c | 805.73$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 75c | 802.22$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 42c | 797.37$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 164 | 17.1%28 W · 136 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4400backed Yes | 60c | 785.43$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 55c | 777$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…84e0backed Yes | 13c | 763.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.68 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…d571backed Yes | 27c | 727.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.46 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…384fbacked Yes | 17c | 725.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.39 | 421 | 10%42 W · 379 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbb…7525backed Yes | 25c | 721.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed Yes | 15c | 718.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 26c | 711.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.64 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes | 14c | 702.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.1 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 20c | 685.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 44c | 680.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 12c | 669.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.32 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed Yes | 45c | 666.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.31 | 232 | 17.7%41 W · 191 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…e624backed Yes | 35c | 655.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked No | 36c | 645.58$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…4866backed Yes | 56c | 629.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 625.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…66babacked Yes | 12c | 591.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Yes | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fd…9028backed Yes | 72c | 562.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 121 | 12.4%15 W · 106 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 55c | 561.88$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…d543backed Yes | 26c | 555$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Yes | 72c | 553.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes | 74c | 542.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…0cfabacked Yes | 21c | 540.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.42 | 281 | 13.5%38 W · 243 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…f078backed Yes | 34c | 535.29$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…e23ebacked Yes | 57c | 525.76$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…e94bbacked Yes | 16c | 504.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.67 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 524 | 9.9%52 W · 472 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 57c | 497.47$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 486.73$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…9971backed Yes | 26c | 481.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d3cbacked Yes | 69c | 469.88$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed Yes | 42c | 465.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked Yes | 73c | 455.51$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 75c | 439.28$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.01 | 248 | 73%181 W · 67 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 438.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…9ad8backed Yes | 23c | 432.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes | 20c | 427$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 411.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.09 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.