TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26db…7abc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST6119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+426.3%+$213.16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$354.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$896.45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$62.96
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.3
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$900.91
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+183.9%+$91.94
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+115.3%+$220.95
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$387.35
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$115.85
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+138.8%+$305.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+110.4%+$165.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+239.4%+$111.31
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+395.8%+$392.41
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$115
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+37%+$18
Saints vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$13.63
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Old Dominionbacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Sam Houston vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$26.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$58.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$58.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs. Mysticsbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcorn State Braves vs. Howard Bisonbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomurabacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.