NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69acf1aa20817f48bca868c596a5856873ce7ca92578043bef17dbb55cd100f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Sabres, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,248,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,313,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,248,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Sabres | 24c | 722,954$172,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,907.07 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Avalanche | 76c | 208,275$158,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,985.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Avalanche | 77c | 197,837$151,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,889.83 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Avalanche | 76c | 175,000$133,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 12c | 106,118$12,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,473.32 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Sabres | 22c | 52,190$11,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,364.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Avalanche | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche | 76c | 48,800$37,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,712 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche | 77c | 34,180$26,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,861.4 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 23c | 30,914$7,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.47 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Sabres | 24c | 30,070$7,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.39 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 76c | 21,752$16,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.42 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabres | 23c | 20,770$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.65 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Avalanche | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Avalanche | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Avalanche | 77c | 18,600$14,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Sabres | 10c | 12,008$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.46 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Avalanche | 77c | 11,194$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.67 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 23c | 7,400$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.92 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 75c | 7,257$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.33 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Sabres | 23c | 6,001$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 76c | 5,791$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Avalanche | 76c | 5,500$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Avalanche | 77c | 4,689$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.74 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 24c | 3,682$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.94 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 22c | 3,446$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.01 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Sabres | 23c | 3,261$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 77c | 3,018$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sabres | 24c | 2,800$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 23c | 2,611$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.5 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sabres | 25c | 2,013$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.89 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Sabres | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,714$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sabres | 23c | 1,694$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,623$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…b882backed Sabres | 26c | 1,532$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Avalanche | 74c | 1,514$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.64 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Sabres | 4c | 1,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…88dbbacked Avalanche | 74c | 1,467$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Sabres | 14c | 1,400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 13c | 1,305$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche | 76c | 1,245$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.7 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres | 23c | 1,094$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…f4eabacked Avalanche | 78c | 1,090$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…8accbacked Sabres | 23c | 1,065$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sabres | 23c | 1,063$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 23c | 1,022$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed Sabres | 23c | 1,017$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Sabres | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sabres | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Sabres | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Avalanche | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Sabres | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…0964backed Sabres | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 76c | 926$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Sabres | 10c | 818.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 23c | 715$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Avalanche | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Sabres | 21c | 661.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Avalanche | 77c | 655.16$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Sabres | 16c | 620.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Avalanche | 77c | 576.62$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Avalanche | 76c | 555$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Sabres | 20c | 552.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Sabres | 23c | 529.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Avalanche | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Sabres | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Sabres | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Sabres | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Sabres | 25c | 499.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche | 73c | 467$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Sabres | 22c | 457.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Avalanche | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Sabres | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Avalanche | 78c | 420.51$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Avalanche | 75c | 402$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 23c | 339.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Sabres | 15c | 336.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…6855backed Sabres | 23c | 324$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Avalanche | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9ff6backed Avalanche | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 77c | 318$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 74c | 310$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Sabres | 15c | 300.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sabres | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…d699backed Avalanche | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…f8e5backed Sabres | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sabres | 25c | 299.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Sabres | 22c | 288.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Sabres | 9c | 286.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e4…4b46backed Avalanche | 76c | 281.84$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Avalanchethis page
- Sabres vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.